Independent crypto research desk · fresh calls every four hours

Read the tide
before you trade.

Neapline publishes a disciplined set of crypto calls at every four-hour session print: entry zones, targets and the exact price where we’re wrong. Then it tracks every one of them against the live market, in public.

See today’s tide tableHow we chart a call

Ebb tide

Momentum
▼ BTC falling
vs session print
−1.76%
Swell, 1 h
1.54%
Trades / min
—

buyer sellerEach ripple is one real BTC-USD trade · Snapshot

01 · Tide table

Today’s calls, tracked tick by tick.

Calls are re-published at every four-hour session print, each with an entry zone, two targets and an invalidation level, and never edited after. The marker shows where price sits right now.

Published Oct 29, 00:00 UTC (Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET) · 2 active · 0 awaiting entry · 3 resolved · Snapshot

Today’s calls with entry zone, targets, invalidation, current price and status
AssetBiasEntry zoneTargetsInvalidationWhere price isStatusDetails
BTCBitcoin LongSwing · 80,561.79 – 80,991.4981,593.0982,194.6879,702.37
Price 79,819.85
79,819.85		 Active−0.89R open
ETHEther LongPosition · 2,296.18 – 2,307.582,362.412,386.332,272.26
Price 2,301.61
2,301.61		 Active · in entry zone−0.01R open
SOLSolana ShortSwing · 102.09 – 102.79101.2999.970104.03
Price 99.320
99.320		 Target 2 hit
XRPXRP WaitSwing · 1.2920 – 1.3404no tradeclose outside
Price 1.2940
1.2940		 Ranging
AVAXAvalanche ShortPosition · 8.9777 – 9.05108.86768.66589.1794
Price 8.6170
8.6170		 Target 2 hit

Demo calls. Levels are anchored to the latest session print (in ATR multiples) so this table stays meaningful whenever you open it. Status is computed from real 5-minute bars since publication. Not financial advice.

02 · Sea state

The conditions behind every call.

Six readings anyone can scan in a second: a plain word first, the exact number and its source underneath. When conditions turn rough, we trade smaller or not at all.

  • Wind

    Snapshot

    Force 0 · Neutral

    51/100

    Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Which way the crowd leans, not where price goes.

  • Swell

    Snapshot

    Rough water

    1.54%

    BTC's range over the last hour, 3.1× an average hour today.

  • Current

    Snapshot

    Running with sellers

    0 of 6

    Pairs we cover trading above their 24-hour open.

  • Tide

    Snapshot

    Ebb tide

    −1.76%

    BTC against the current session print, the level every call is anchored to.

  • Traffic

    Snapshot

    —

    —

    BTC-USD trades on Coinbase in the last minute.

  • Visibility

    Sample

    Clear

    +0.0084%

    Perpetual funding rate, 8 h. Shown as a sample until a derivatives feed is connected.

03 · Method

How we chart a call.

Six layers, always in the same order. Scroll through them on real ETH-USD hourly candles recorded Oct 29.

  1. 01

    Price, nothing else

    We start with the tape: ninety-six hourly ETH-USD candles. No indicators yet, no opinion.

  2. 02

    Where value was agreed

    The last two days' range marks where most trading happened. Inside it, price is fair; at its edges, someone is wrong.

  3. 03

    Drift versus noise

    A slow trend band (20-hour average, ± half an hourly ATR) separates the tide from the chop.

  4. 04

    Who is pressing

    Volume shows conviction. Rising price on shrinking volume is a warning; heavy volume at an edge is information.

  5. 05

    Levels before the idea

    Entry at the bottom of the value range, the invalidation just under it, targets at the middle and the top. All set before the trade.

  6. 06

    Published as one card

    The result is the same card you see in the tide table, timestamped and never edited. If it fails, it fails in public.

2-day value rangeT22,390T12,342Entry2,297Stop2,278

Published at the print · example from this chart

▲ Long ETH · Position · conviction 3/5

Entry
2,294–2,301
Targets
2,342 / 2,390
Invalidation
2,278

04 · Toolkit

Size it before you send it.

Start from the loss you accept, not the coins you want. Load any of today’s calls, or type your own levels.

Load today’s call
USD
%

Most members cap this at 0.5–1%.

USD
USD
USD
%

Leverage changes the margin you post, not the size of the position.

▲ Long BTC · position size

0.0854 BTC

$6,901 notional

Risk if stopped
−$100
Reward at target
$113
Reward : risk
1.13
Margin at 3×
$2,300
Liquidation ≈
$54,254.98
Break-even
$80,873.63
  • Reward-to-risk of 1.13 needs a high hit rate to pay.

05 · Track record

The waterline: every win, every drawdown.

Illustrative sample, not real performance. This section shows how results would be presented: every closed call, compounded at 1% risk, with drawdowns drawn below the waterline instead of hidden.

Closed calls
140
Hit rate
45%
Avg. winner
+2.27R
Profit factor
2.17
Total
+76.9R
Max drawdown
-6.8%
waterline$10,000 · 1% risk per call$21,140 (+111%)

Latest closed (sample)

  • #140LINK Long+2.5R5d
  • #139LINK Long−1.0R7d
  • #138SOL Long−1.0R1d
  • #137LINK Short−1.0R3d
  • #136LINK Long−1.0R5d
  • #135AVAX Long−1.0R4d
  • #134ETH Short+2.1R4d
  • #133SOL Long−1.0R4d

06 · Logbook

Notes from the desk.

Short, practical pieces on risk and market structure. No price predictions, ever.

07 · Membership

Come aboard.

Cancel anytime. Prices in US dollars; yearly plans get two months free.

  • Deckhand

    Learn the method, follow along a day behind.

    $0forever

    • Weekly tide brief
    • Calls published 24 h late
    • Position-size calculator
    • Logbook excerpts
  • Most members

    Navigator

    The full daily desk, as it happens.

    $29/ month

    • Every call at each session print
    • Status alerts: fill, T1, stop
    • Full logbook
    • Ask the desk (members' Q&A)

  • Harbor Master

    For traders who manage size.

    $79/ month

    • Everything in Navigator
    • Position notes on every call
    • Monthly strategy room recording
    • Webhook alerts (coming)

08 · Questions

Before you come aboard.

Is this financial advice?

No. Neapline is research and education. Each call states its entry, targets and the level where it's wrong so you can make your own decision and size your own risk. Crypto is volatile; only trade what you can afford to lose.

Where does the live data come from?

Prices, trades and 5-minute bars stream from Coinbase Exchange's public market data feed directly into your browser. The Fear & Greed reading comes from alternative.me. If the live feed can't be reached, the page plays a recorded real session and says so in the header.

How are calls tracked?

Calls are published at each four-hour session print (00:00, 04:00 … 20:00 UTC) and never edited. Their status (awaiting entry, active, T1, stopped, missed) is computed from price after publication, bar by bar, with the adverse level counted first when a bar touches both.

What happens when a call is wrong?

It hits its invalidation and is logged as a loss of 1R. Nothing is deleted. After the first target, the stop moves to the entry, so a winner can't turn into a full loss.

Which coins do you cover?

Six liquid majors: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, LINK and AVAX. We add a market only when its liquidity lets members enter and exit at the published levels.

Can I cancel anytime?

Yes. Monthly plans stop at the end of the period; yearly plans can be refunded pro rata in the first 30 days.

09 · The morning tide brief

One message a day, at 12:00 UTC.

The day’s calls, the sea state and one chart worth your time. Nothing else, and never a hot tip.

We send one brief a day. Unsubscribe in one click.